Tips for betting on the World Cup 2014: the hidden factors
FIFA rankings, previous performance, injuries, such are the classic factors invoked in much pre-game analyses delivered in the World Cup 2014.
However, other factors are exerting an important and unmentioned importance in teams’ performances thus far in the tournament. Be it travel, climate, or fatigue – all of these peripheral considerations will have their importance in a competition where details are decisive.
For bettors, it is of the utmost importance to be aware of these key factors that are rarely mentioned by sports analysts, commentators, and least of all bookmakers.
Brazil, with a total of over 3 million square miles, is the 5th largest country in the world in terms of area. With World Cup stadiums built in all corners of this vast territory, travel will undoubtedly have an unsung importance in the tournament. Indeed, some teams may travel halfway around the world without leaving the country.
For example: USA – Germany
This will directly impact the final match of the USA men’s soccer team. Set to battle for qualification against Germany, Americans will also have to battle the adverse effects of travel. The location of the final fixture of Group G is located 1,300 miles from USA’s base-camp, against 620 miles for the Germans.
Moreover, American players will have already travelled 7,500 miles at kick-off against 3,000 for the Nationalmannschaft. A little mentioned but crucial factor in what will be the deciding game for USA’s progression to the final 16.
A factor that had already been of importance in the 2002 edition of the World Cup in South Korea that may resurface in Brazil is the climate.
Brazil’s territory is as contrasted as it is vast, and during the months of June and July – winter in the southern hemisphere – temperature and humidity differentials are striking.
The Arena Amazona of Manaus, and its equatorial climate has already made teams suffer, while games in Porto Alegre in the Southern point of Brazil have benefited from optimal playing conditions. In repetition, however, these temperature shocks could have a negative impact on the players and their recovery between matches.
For example: USA – Germany
The USA, which played its last game against Portugal in the heat and damp of Manaus will have to plan a diet of light training and rest in order to be at its highest level of performance against Germany.
A factor that will express itself in two different ways is fatigue. Recuperation times between matches are crucial and can offer certain teams an advantage. This will be the case during USA-Germany, where the Germans will benefit of 4 days, the double of their American counterparts who will have had only 2 days.
Cumulated fatigue is also of importance. Coming out of a long season and prolonging their efforts during the World Cup, certain players will be more susceptible to fatigue than others. This is notably the case for players engaged in the final stages of the Champions’ League. No player to have received the Golden Ball award in the World Cup has done so having progressed past the quarter finals of the competition, illustrating just how draining the top flight of European football can be.
Spain’s early departure can thus in part be explained in part by the Madrid derby in the Champions’ League final, and Germany’s performance will depend on preserving members of the Bayern Munich squad that reached the semi-finals.
This World Cup has already delivered its load of surprises. These are in fact the result of an accumulation of factors. More than just the commonly rehashed variables like FIFA ranking and current form, insidious factors have already surfaced in several shocking results.
It is therefore important for a punter to be aware of them, to make his World Cup campaign as fruitful as that of the players on the pitch.
For more information and tips on how to maximize World Cup winnings, be sure to have a look at our article on World Cup free bets and bonuses.